Thursday, August 27, 2009

Talking it up!

Welcome. To kick things off, here is a great response by Rob to a Press Release made earlier today.

From: rob@

Subject: Re: Assetz: Comment on Nationwide house price index

Date: 27 August 2009 12:26:06 GMT+02:00

To: S.L@


With all due respect, do you inhabit the same Universe as the rest of us??

The figures you're looking at are based on historically tiny numbers of transactions. If you know
anything about statistics, the smaller the sample, the larger the distortions. So what seems to be
happening here is that you're reading current tiny-sample trends, comparing them to large-
sample trends from two years ago, and seeing the mythical 'green shoots'.

The other thing you're failing to take into account (or perhaps ignoring) is that there has never,
ever been a V-shaped recovery from any recession in recorded history.

Then there's the continued toxicity in the banking system, massively low interest rates
subsidising us all, a possible devaluation of the dollar, etc. etc. etc.

I'm surprised you guys are not being a bit more responsible in what you put out.

Regards

Rob



On 27 Aug 2009, at 11:08, Sarah L wrote:

For immediate release - 27 August 2009
Stuart Law, Chief Executive of Assetz, comments on Nationwide's August 2009
House Price Index, released today:

"The doom mongers can no longer deny that all the evidence is pointing to a
recovery in the housing market, with Nationwide's figures showing the annual rate of
decline now standing at just -2.7% year on year.
"With these increasing signs of house price stability we should see more lenders re
entering the market and improved loan-to-values over the remainder of the
year. Overall house prices are poised for a return to positive annual growth by the end
of 2009, with a possible rise of 5% or even higher, as the shortage of homes grows
more severe and the competition among buyers for existing properties increases. "
-ENDS-

Notes to Editors

About Assetz plc

Assetz plc heads up a group of well-known and successful property investment and

development companies, delivering carefully selected UK and overseas property as well

as property funds, financial planning, education, finance and after-sales service. Assetz

offers expertise and peace of mind whether a buyer is seeking an investment or a

residential property.


1 comment:

  1. Rob received a response from the PR, which is good to see:

    Personally, yes last time i checked i was on planet earth!

    This is not my personal view, it is the view of Stuart Law who owns Assetz. He would say that while the samples are currently small, they are growing and consistant price rises should not be ignored. Stuart does record the data from 5 monthly house price indices (FT, nationwide, Halifax, CLG, Rightmove) and considers house price changes in the context of all their results monthly and over many years.

    I personally happen to agree with you (as does another client of mine Cluttons, the estate agent) that there will be another dip and interest rates are playing a big part in lower than expected repossession figures.
    Our clients views are their own though, and as long as they make sense and can be backed up, of course we will issue them.

    Best wishes
    Sarah

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